< HOME  Sunday, April 26, 2009

Compared to Bird flu, Swine flu's a "relative lightweight"

If this is true, then I smell a rat...

Still Too Early to Worry? Despite the action being taken by national and international health organizations, some infectious disease experts say it is far too early to fear the worst -- a global flu pandemic.

"The current swine flu only marginally meets only one of three of pandemic tests: effective person-to-person transmission," Hsu said, adding that the other tests -- susceptibility and no natural immunity or vaccine -- remain to be satisfied.

Hsu further noted that compared to the H5N1 strain of the avian flu virus -- commonly known as bird flu -- the current H1N1 swine flu strain is still a relative lightweight.

Since 2003, he said, bird flu has garnered a 60 percent case fatality rate, and it never attained pandemic status.

Meanwhile, the current swine flu strain still has fewer than 1,000 reported cases and only about 60 fatalities to its name.

"If not [a pandemic] then, why now?" he asked.

Good question.

Even better considering it took them a month to report initial cases in Mexico.
A Delay in Action? Another question that remains is whether health agencies reacted quickly enough to the initial reports of swine infections in Mexico, first reported in mid-March.

"I think that the laboratory testing capabilities for this type of virus were not fully in place and this accounts for some of the delay," said Dr. Pascal James Imperato, dean of the Graduate Program in Public Health at SUNY Downstate Medical Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. "They were not routinely testing for this type of influenza virus."

Still, other infectious disease experts said that there should have been quicker action.

"I concur that the 'one-month lag' between case identification and reporting was too long," said Ed Hsu, associate professor of Public Health Informatics at the University of Texas School of Health Information Sciences and School of Public Health. "[It is a] good thing that the CDC now decides to have a daily briefing on the swine flu, but it will still need to bring the transparency of reporting in other high-risk countries up to speed on this."

And despite the actions by the World Health Organization with regard to the swine flu outbreaks, no decision has yet been made to increase the pandemic threat level from its current status of phase 3 to phase 4 on the six-point scale. A virus isn't considered to be pandemic until it reaches phase 6.

WHO did announce, however, that it has sent a team of experts to Mexico to further study the outbreaks.
It's about time they sent someone to actually investigate what's going on. But, that begs the question - why does all the hype preceed their investigation?

A lot of questions and very few answers.

More an more it's looking like this "swine flu" thing is just another media psy-op launched by monied swine to distract people from the disintegrating economy around us.


At Sunday, April 26, 2009, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think they just look around for things to sensationalize that fall withing their agenda of fear and division.

Of course, when the real thing hits, don't expect them to tell us what they've done until it's too late, else they tell us the truth for a change.

At Monday, April 27, 2009, Blogger Unknown said...

A U.S. Bioweapon got missing chek the full stry here:


At Wednesday, June 03, 2009, Blogger Unknown said...

H1N1 (referred to as “swine flu” early on) is a new influenza virus causing illness in people. Symptoms of swine flu are similar to those caused by other influenza viruses. Health authorities across the globe are taking steps to try to stem the spread of swine flu after outbreaks in Mexico and the United States. The World Health Organization has called it a "public health emergency of international concern."

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